To engage or not to engage?
And yet according to a new alert from NIRI – the institute for IR professionals in the US – less than a quarter of (US) companies who identify an activist investor on their register, will move proactively to contact them. The vast majority wait for an approach. And the picture is likely the same in other markets.
An important word is “identify” – given the increasing use of derivatives, and the absence of mandatory disclosures by investors holding them, many companies are simply unaware of activists’ involvement. That however is another story.
The odds of IRO’s finding an activist holding their stock are shortening all the time, as the number of activist attacks has risen sharply. More dissenting resolutions and more senior executive resignations are traceable to clashes with their sponsors. And it is not likely to lessen any time soon, with hedge funds and pension funds taking an ever closer interest in earnings performance, greater accounting transparency, and use of more sophisticated earnings measures.
With changes in the sell side, and reduction in their resources, there is a growing reluctance to rely on reassurances of the sell side. Another factor are the new communication channels, which allow disgruntled shareholders to consult and coordinate action more effectively. And these often include lobby groups and charities using shareholdings to sway policy on social and environmental issues.
So what to do? NIRI identifies 2 groups. The ‘reactive’ group suggests research and preparation for attacks. The 'proactive' group notes that a good communications and engagement policy makes it much harder for activists with divisive motivations. This blog always sides with the latter group; transparency is all.
So on that assumption, what else can an IRO do? Some suggestions: meet the activist, and work out what they want – but don’t invite them to meet the whole board, as they’ll try to divide it. Sound out other institutional shareholders with votes necessary to defeat the activist and tell them of the activist’s proposals along with an explanation of why you believe they’re misguided.
The ‘other side’ of course paints a rather different picture. They note that while activists invest for profit like anyone else, they can often be long-term shareholders. Indeed, the "short-term" versus "long-term" distinction is often in their opinion, a screen for poor performance from managers who have failed to deliver results over either horizon. Activists claim to seek to cause the stock price to reflect a company's true value, which is in the best interest of supposed "short-term" and "long-term" investors alike.
So as always, I will argue for transparency – good and frequent communications will lessen undesirable position taking.